UFC Fight Night Best Bets Picks Predictions: Antonio Arroyo vs. Eryk Anders Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos (Saturday Nov. 14)

UFC Fight Night Best Bets Picks Predictions: Antonio Arroyo vs. Eryk Anders Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos (Saturday Nov. 14)
UFC Fight Night Best Bets Picks amp; Predictions: Antonio Arroyo vs. Eryk Anders Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos (Saturday Nov. 14)https://www.actionnetwork.com/mma/ufc-fight-night-picks-predictions-best-bets-arroyo-vs-anders-felder-vs-dos-anjos-november-14 UFC Fight Night Best Bets Picks amp; Predictions: Antonio Arroyo vs. Eryk Anders Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos (Saturday Nov. 14) Chris Unger/DWCS LLC. Pictured: Antonio Arroyo. Saturdays UFC slate has some intriguing matchups with Paul Felder and Rafael dos Anjos headlining the action. The 11-fight card starts at 4 p.m. ET with six preliminary fights and four fights on the main card which begins at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. This week weve included Sean Zerillos projections for Saturdays card and you can see his picks by following him in The Action Networks app. _BookPromo=158 UFC Fight Night Moneylines UFC Fight Night Props Our crew has pinpointed two specific fights on Saturdays undercard and main card that present some betting value. You can find their analysis and picks on those matches below. Any Team 50?! $125 for a Yard? The Best CFB Sportsbook Promos for Week 11Read now UFC Fight Night Betting Picks Reed Wallach: Antonio Arroyo vs. Eryk Anders Contributor at The Action Network This line smells fishy to me. Eryk Anders is a household name in the UFC despite middling results. Known for his football career he is a former University of Alabama linebacker Anders is 5-5 in the promotion but draws some fanfare for his prior accolades. He enters this fight as a slight favorite against an opponent in Antonio Arroyo who lost his official UFC debut but did grab two victories on Dana Whites Contender Series. The Brazilian will be slightly taller standing 6-foot-3 to Anders 6-foot-1 but Anders has the 2-inch reach advantage. What Arroyo has shown that Anders has not has been activity and precision. Arroyo has a striking accuracy of 69 to Anders 45 and takes less than half the shots Anders takes albeit a smaller sample size. Anders has been held back by his inactivity throughout his UFC career and it has cost him fights namely his prior fight to Krzysztof Jotko. If Arroyo is able to set the tone early and maybe establish some leg kicks to slow down Anders even more this could be a long bout for the former collegiate defender. On top of the strategic advantages Anders is stepping in on short notice while Arroyo has had a full camp. Anders unpreparedness was on display on the scales Friday when he landed a pound and a half overweight at weigh-ins. I have a feeling that Anders rushed back into this and the situation calls for an Arroyo upset as the slight underdog. After opening around -170 Anders has dropped to -130 so the best value is most certainly gone but I would play Arroyo at any number under -110 on a card that I expect a few dogs to bark throughout. The Pick: Antonio Arroyo 105 [Bet UFC Fight Night now at PointsBet risk-free up to $250] The must-have app for sports bettors Custom scoreboard for your bets Free picks from experts Live odds for every game Download Now Malik Smith: Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos Senior Editor at The Action Network Felder jumping out of the booth and into the octagon on just five days notice is risky but admirable. The Irish Dragon had been training for a triathlon which isnt exactly the same as training for a fight. However not getting beat up for a six-week camp has its advantages as well. At 36 Felder is a pro and his proximity to the action as a broadcaster should keep his mind fresh even if the odds are stacked against him. Late replacement fighterstypically win at a rate of 38 which is roughly what Felders implied odds equate to against dos Anjos (37.24). RDA is moving back down to lightweight after going 4-4 in the welterweight division. To be fair three of those losses came against the very top of the division champion Kamaru Usman No. 1-ranked Colby Covington and No. 3-ranked Leon Edwards and all three went to the cards. The short notice could have just as much impact on dos Anjos strategy as it has on Felders stamina. RDA was anticipating fighting a wrestler but will get a striker instead. While dos Anjos only win in the past two years has come by way of submission his fights have typically gone to the scorecards. Felder hasnt finished an opponent or been finished by an opponent since his KO win against Charles Oliveira in 2017. I think the value here is on the betting this fight to go the distance. Sean Zerillos UFC Model projects this fight to got the distance 66 of the time and the distance prop atBetMGM(-162) converts to 61.8 implied odds. Both of these men are seasoned veterans and I anticipate neither will fall into any traps that could lead to an early night. The Pick: Fight Goes the Distance (-162) [Bet now at BetMGM and get an INSTANT $500 deposit match.] via Action Network https://www.actionnetwork.com https://sv88.com

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November 14, 2020 at 12:29PM
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