Sunday Premier League Betting Odds Picks Predictions: Aston Villa vs. Southampton (Nov. 1)

Sunday Premier League Betting Odds Picks Predictions: Aston Villa vs. Southampton (Nov. 1)
Sunday Premier League Betting Odds Picks amp; Predictions: Aston Villa vs. Southampton (Nov. 1)https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/sunday-premier-league-betting-odds-picks-predictions-aston-villa-vs-southampton-november-1 Sunday Premier League Betting Odds Picks amp; Predictions: Aston Villa vs. Southampton (Nov. 1) Robin Jones/Getty Images. Pictured: Danny Ings. Aston Villa vs. Southampton Odds Aston Villa Odds 148 [BET NOW] Southampton Odds 175[BET NOW] Draw 260[BET NOW] Over/Under 2.5 (125/-155) [BET NOW] Time 7 a.m. ET How To Watch Peacock Premium Odds updated as of Sunday at 1 a.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks. Few teams started better than Aston Villa in the Premier League especially considering their 7-2 thrashing of Liverpool prior to the international break. As Southampton travels to Villa Park on Sunday the Saints could move into the top four albeit maybe only for a few hours with a win. Lets break this one down. _BookPromo=49 Aston Villa Aston Villa was dealt a heat check in its last game against Leeds United in the Premier League. After winning four straight games to start the season the Villans lost 3-0 last Friday. Despite the loss theyve had an impressive start to the PL season ranking fifth in non-penalty expected goal difference (NPxGD) through five games. Villa was one of the worst defensive teams in the entire PL last season but they have the second best defensive record according to xG since the 2020-21 campaign began. Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping. The Lions are pressing more than usual this year and with the excellent play of forward Ollie Watkins linking up with creator Jack Grealish Villa have improved at both ends of the pitch. Watkins is the forward Villa desperately needed and hes averaging 0.6 xG/90 since joining the club from Brentford. However there are flashing red signs of regression for Villa. Im much more likely to buy into a 38-game sample than a four-game sample that saw Villa beat Sheffield United and Leicester with less than 1.00 xG in either match. Two big wins against Liverpool and Fulham appear to be really juicing this line toward Villa. They rank third in goals per shot at 0.17. That historically tends to regress. Its a level of unsustainable finishing that will come to an end. Any Team 50?! $100 for Just One TD? The Best Sportsbook Promos for Week 8Read now Southampton I lost money betting on Southampton early in the season when the Saints just werent quite on with their pressing system early in the season. They lost to Crystal Palace on opening day and were steamrolled by Spurs the following week. I thought for a split second that something might actually be wrong with Ralph Hasenhuttls side especially given how high I was on Southampton. It turns out that Southamptons pressing unit just needed some time to get into their rhythm and find their fitness. Since then Saints have won three of four. The one match they didnt win was a dramatic 3-3 draw against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. They kept clean sheets in their three victories this season while ranking fourth in passes per defensive action a metric that measures ball pressure. Danny Ings has continued his fine form for Southampton up top but he has more help in the goal department this year from fellow striker Che Adams. Adams underperformed in finishing in 2019-20 but hes underperforming again so far in 2020. But the two play well off each other. The Southampton numbers arent that impressive but theyre about in line with last season. Theyre good enough to finish near the top half of the table well above relegation but not good enough to challenge for top six. Manchester United vs. Arsenal: Tight Affair Expected at Old TraffordRead now Betting Analysis The wrong team is favored in this match. Southampton is the better team Im not too worried about being on the road given how profitable away teams have been in the league thus far. Ill take the Saints to get all three points in this match and will play the tw0-way line down to -115. Pick: Southampton PK (105) [Bet on theSouthampton-Aston Villamatch now at DraftKings and get a $1000 sign-up bonus.] via Action Network https://www.actionnetwork.com https://sv88.com

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November 01, 2020 at 01:29PM
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