Serie A Odds Picks and Predictions: Napoli vs. Sassuolo (Sunday Nov. 1)

Serie A Odds Picks and Predictions: Napoli vs. Sassuolo (Sunday Nov. 1)
Serie A Odds Picks and Predictions: Napoli vs. Sassuolo (Sunday Nov. 1)https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/serie-a-odds-picks-and-predictions-napoli-vs-sassuolo-sunday-november-1 Serie A Odds Picks and Predictions: Napoli vs. Sassuolo (Sunday Nov. 1) Giuseppe Maffia/NurPhoto via Getty Images. Pictured: Dries Mertens. Napoli vs. Sassuolo Odds Napoli Odds -250 [BET NOW] Sassuolo Odds 550[BET NOW] Draw 410[BET NOW] Over/Under 3.5 (-112/-112) [BET NOW] Time Saturday 12:00 p.m. ET How To Watch ESPN Odds as of 11 p.m. ET on Saturday and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks. Napoli welcome Sassuolo to the Stadio San Paolo on Sunday afternoon. This is my favorite Serie A match of the weekend and I knew right away that this was the one I wanted to write about. Napoli have been impressive to start the season and seem to have the quality to make a run for the top six in Serie A. Sassuolo are a poor mans Atalanta a team with an attacking flair. They are a really fun side but probably a bit below the upper-tier of Italian clubs. This should be a fun matchup to break down. _BookPromo=49 Napoli Napoli have had a great start to the year with four wins and one loss. However the loss is a forfeit due to COVID-19 protocols. The team refused to travel to Turin for a match against Juventus due to a local outbreak of the virus in Naples and were subsequently docked one point in addition to the loss. They havent actually lost a game. I have to be honest though Napoli are one of the more frustrating teams to bet on for me in Serie A. They sometimes struggle to create good chances and I wouldnt say they are elite in terms of finishing. Nevertheless its a really high-quality side that put it on Atalanta two league matches ago and beat Real Sociedad 1-0 in the Europa League this past week. I still think Napoli might be a step below the top tier in Serie A but they should be a top-six club and should challenge for a Champions League place. While Napolis goal total this season in Serie indicated they are creating chances their expected goals (xG) output is a different story. Napoli are creating 1.83 xG per game while actually scoring 3.5 goals per game. Their finishing has been elite but the goals will likely regress unless they can create easier chances. Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping. Defensively manager Gennaro Gattusos team has been truly superb allowing only 0.43 xGA per game. Thats clearly unsustainable but limiting opponents chances seem to be a significant improvement for Gattusos men this season. Any Team 50?! $100 for Just One TD? The Best Sportsbook Promos for Week 8Read now Sassuolo Sassuolo are one of those teams that may take a few years off your life if you bet on them. It can be stressful but boy is it fun. Last weeks match against Torino who could be a bottom-five club in Serie A this season is a perfect example. Poor defending and a significant fog in the air caused them to fall behind 3-1 in the 79th minute. I was happy because my over cashed but then Sassuolo proceeded to score twice in the 84th and 85th minutes to pull out a draw. That is the Sassuolo experience so be prepared. Sassuolo currently are fourth in the table with three wins and two draws on the season level on points with Napoli because of the point deduction. Their advanced metrics are actually really impressive offensively generating 2.29 xG per game (fifth in Serie A). This figure will likely regress but Sassuolo have shown the ability in the final third to hang with some teams you would not necessarily expect them to. Defensively they could use some work allowing 1.48 xGA per game (seventh in Serie A). In general Serie A has seen an abundant amount of goals and Sassuolo are a good case study for that. Their first five games have had goal totals of two five five seven and six. I do expect them to be able to create some good chances against Napoli as well as to concede a good amount of chances. Napoli-Sassuolo Pick I really think Sassuolo 1.5 is great value here. Napolis numbers look more impressive than if you actually watched their games. I wouldnt say this will be a smooth or easy game for Napoli. Sassuolo are a class side that can score with the best of them. They have the advantage defensively but I see a draw or a one-goal win for Napoli. The Neapolitans are not Bayern Munich. Theyre more likely to run out the clock with a one-goal lead instead of aim for a second. With that I also like the under. The PICKS: Sassuolo 1.5 (-130) | Under 3.5 (-112) [Bet Napoli-Sassuolo now at DraftKings and get a $1000 sign-up bonus.] via Action Network https://www.actionnetwork.com https://sv88.com

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November 01, 2020 at 10:29AM
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