Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez Odds Pick Prediction: The UFC Underdog With Far-Too-Tempting Odds | The Action Network

Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez Odds Pick Prediction: The UFC Underdog With Far-Too-Tempting Odds | The Action Network
Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez Odds Pick Prediction: The UFC Underdog With Far-Too-Tempting Odds | The Action Networkhttps://www.actionnetwork.com/mma/frankie-saenz-vs-jonathan-martinez-ufc-fight-night-betting-pick-prediction-august-1 Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez Odds Pick Prediction: The UFC Underdog With Far-Too-Tempting Odds Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: Frankie Saenz gets his hands wrapped backstage. Frankie Saenz vs. Jonathan Martinez Odds Saenz odds 200 (BET NOW) Martinez odds -260 (BET NOW) Over/Under 2.5 Rounds (-209/160) (BET NOW) Time 8:30 p.m. ET Venue UFC Apex Las Vegas Channel ESPN Odds via PointsBet where you can get $250 FREE instantly after signing up AND your bets automatically sync to the Action app. Learn more about BetSync here. In the world of pandemic MMA a few of the sports old-timers have found some recent success in the cage. Dont be surprised if Frankie Saenz who hits the big 4-0 in just a few weeks joins the winners circle. At Saturdays UFC on ESPN 31 event in Las Vegas Saenz (13-6) meets Jonathan Martinez (11-3) in a matchup that offers some tempting plus-money odds. This fight was originally scheduled for the bantamweight division but Martinez a former 125-pound flyweight forced it to become a 140.5-pound catchweight affair after missing the mark by a hefty 4.5 pounds at Fridays weigh-ins. Jonathan Martinez weighs in at 145.5lbs#UFCVegas5 pic.twitter.com/6mtg1BiMQh EmmettGMMA (@emmettglenn) July 31 2020 Of course Martinezs troubles on the scale are hardly unique these days. The UFC has hosted 12 events (all without spectators) since its return to live shows in early May and 75% of those events featured at least one fighter who missed weight. In this new world with Zoom training sessions gym disruptions travel restrictions and last-minute fight-card remodeling MMA fans have learned not to read too much into weight misses because of the countless hindrances and distractions. Recent history also suggests fighters who come in overweight still win just about 50% of the time. Still its yet another reason to like the odds that underdog Saenz (200) totes into this matchup with 26-year-old Martinez (-260) whose line should arguably be closer to the -140 to -160 range. Sure Saenz probably loses this fight more often than he wins it. Hes stuck in a 2-4 skid and hes fought just three times in the past 32 months while dealing with injuries and fight cancellations. And as we saw in his most recent fight a March 2019 TKO loss to Marlon Vera his chin has also become a bit suspect as it often does for fighters in the twilight of their career. The jab!!#UFCNashville @ChitoVeraUFC pic.twitter.com/77KUSSqCT1 UFC (@ufc) March 23 2019 However Saenzs strengths should play well in this matchup and the current odds dont seem to reflect that fact. Before the Vera loss Saenz notched a dominant and gritty win over Henry Briones. The former Arizona State wrestler who has fought professionally for 12 years (twice as long as Martinez) used that same type of clinch scramble and control work to notch a signature career triumph over Iuri Alcantara in 2015. Against southpaw Martinez who should have a decided edge in the striking department Saenz needs to make this an ugly fight and exploit his opponents sometimes-shoddy takedown defense. Heading into his latest clash Martinez is also coming off a loss though it shouldve been a unanimous-decision victory over Andre Ewell. It would have been his third-straight UFC win and wouldve followed a $50000 Performance of the Night victory over Liu Pingyuan in July 2019. In that bout Martinez showed quite forcefully why Saenz probably shouldnt take too many risks standing and trading blows if Saturdays fight drags out. OUT. OF. NOWHERE. @jonathanmyda lands the late knee KO at #UFCSacramento pic.twitter.com/kyvKRKwrp1 ESPN MMA (@espnmma) July 13 2019 Additionally Martinez has shown steady improvements from fight to fight. Hes started to patch up the holes in his takedown defense and hes always had good scrambling ability. But if he cant fight his type of fight and get the room he needs to work it could be a long and ugly 15 minutes for him. Simply put: Saenz needs to get close the distance push his opponent into the fence get this fight horizontal and exploit his clear advantages on the mat. The current odds suggest he will do it only 33.3% of the time but it feels closer to a 50-50 proposition. The Pick: Saenz ML (200) [Bet now at PointsBet. NJ and IN only.] Link your PointsBet and Action accounts so your UFC bets automatically sync over to the app. via Action Network https://www.actionnetwork.com https://sv88.com

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August 01, 2020 at 10:29AM
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